MERHAB |
|---|
| Chronological Summary of Forecast Runs OCEANUS 402 May 18 -- 28 , 2004 |
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| ID | FCAST | Obs | ICs | Error statistics RMS Obs/Prior/Post1/post2 Moorings RMS Post2 Vector bias |
Operator | Comments |
| FC0 | 3.1 | ADCP, B,E,I | OACI | 7.0 | Hindcast of OC391_FC_22; crashed on 3-rd fwd run | |
| FC1 | 3.1 | B, E, I | clim | 9.9/7.8/6.2/6.1 B: 4.7; (1.1, 0.4) E: 5.5; (-2.5, -0.3) I: 7.7; (3.6, -1.8) |
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| FC2 | 2.0 | B, E, I | clim | 9.9/7.8/6.3/6.2 B: 4.7; (1.0, 0.3) E: 5.7; (-2.5, -0.3) I: 7.7; (3.6, -1.7) |
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| FC3 | 3.1 | B, E, I | clim | FC1 + rivers abandoned |
||
| FC4
|
3.1 |
B, E, I |
clim |
9.9/7.7/6.3/6.0 B: 4.7; (1.1, 0.4) E: 5.4; (-2.4, -0.3) I: 7.7; (3.6, -1.8) |
FC1 + less size penalty | |
| FC5 |
3.1 |
I |
clim |
13.9/9.7/9.3/9.2 I: 9.2 (3.8, 1.4) |
CAS |
FC1 Mooring I only |
|
3.1 |
B, E, I |
NMFS svy + AVHRR |
9.9/9.1/6.6/6.2 B: 4.7: (1.1, 1.1) E: 5.2; (-1.3, -0.6) I: 8.0; (4.3, -0.8) |
KWS |
FC1 + AVHRR, NMFS ICs | |
|
3.1 |
B, E, I |
clim |
9.9/7.8/6.2/6.1 B: 4.7; (1.1, 0.4) E: 5.5; (-2.5, -0.3) I: 7.7; (3.5, -1.7) |
KWS |
FC1 + forecast winds | |
| FC8 |
3.1 |
B, E, I |
clim |
9.9/7.8/6.2/6.1 B: 4.7; (1.1, 0.4) E: 5.5; (-2.4, -0.3) I: 7.7; (3.5, -1.8) |
KWS |
FC7 + NOAA winds instead of NCEP; longer record |
| FC9 |
3.1 |
B, E, I |
clim |
10.5/8.4/7.5/6.5 B: 6.1; (1.5, 2.8) E: 5.3; (0.7, -0.4) I: ? |
KWS |
FC8 + updated buoy winds + updated mooring data |
| FC10 |
3.1 |
B, E, I |
clim |
10.5/8.4/7.5/6.5 B: 6.2; (1.6, 2.9) E: 5.3; (1.0, -0.4) I: 7.8; (3.6, -1.5) |
FC9 with 10 iterations | |
| FC11 | ||||||
| FC12 | ||||||
| FC13 | ||||||
| FC14 |
|
B, E, I |
clim |
10.3/8.3/7.7/6.8 B: 7.2; (2.1, 4.4) E: 5.8; (2.0, 0.8) I: 7.4; (3.4, -1.2) |
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| FC16 |
|
B, E, I |
clim |
10.5/8.4/7.7/7.1 B: 7.0; (2.0, 3.6) E: 5.7; (2.1, -0.7) I: ? |
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| FC17 |
B, E, I |
clim |
10.3/8.1/7.1/6.9 B: 7.7 (2.2, 5.1) E: 5.7; (2.3, 0.9) I: 7.2; (3.3, -0.9) |
Tradeoff fit in B vs E? |
||
| FC19 |
B, E, I |
Survey 1 |
KWS |
ICs from Survey 1 Winds at E plus NOAA forecast |
||
| FC20 Central |
2.0 |
Ship ADCP B, E, I |
clim |
11.7/7.6/6.6/6.3 B: 7.1; (2.5, 3.7) E: 5.8; (0.0, -1.4) I: 7.4; (2.1, -2.0) ADCP: 6.0; (-1.0, 0.2) |
CAS |
Forcing: winds at E plus NOAA forecast |
| FC21 |
3.1 |
Ship ADCP B, E, I |
clim |
B: E: I: 7.5; (1.8, -2.1) ADCP: 5.3; (-0.1, -.03) |
KWS |
FC20 using FCAST_3.1 |
| FC22 |
3.1 |
Ship ADCP B, E, I |
Survey 1 |
11.7/7.9/7.1/6.5 B: 6.0; (2.2, 1.0) E: 6.3; (-3.3, 0.0) I: ? ADCP: 6.2; (-0.3, -0.1) |
KWS |
FC21 plus ICs from survey data |
|
FC23 |
2.0 |
Ship ADCP B, E, I |
Survey 1 |
11.7/7.9/6.9/6.7 B: 6.0; (2.2, 1.0) E: 6.1; (-2.8, 0.0) I: 8.2; (4.7, 0.1) ADCP: 6.7; (-0.6, 0.5) |
FC20 with ICs from survey data |
|
| FC24 |
2.0 central |
Ship ADCP B, E, I |
clim |
12.0/8.3/7.7/7.5 B: 7.8; (2.7, 4.1) E: 5.7; (-0.3, -1.7) I: 7.2; (2.3, -1.4) ADCP: 7.8; (-0.7, 0.2) |
FC20 + new data |
|
| FC25 |
3.1 |
Ship ADCP B, E, I |
clim |
12.0/8.3/7.5/7.2 B: 7.6; (2.8, 4.0) E: 5.7; (-0.6, -1.8) I: ? ADCP: 7.3; (-0.8, -0.4) |
FC21 + new data |
|
| FC26 |
3.1 |
Ship ADCP B, E, I |
Survey 1 |
12.0/8.7/7.5/7.2 B: 6.7; (3.2, 1.3) E: 5.6; (-0.3, -0.9) I: ? ADCP: 7.3; (-0.2, -0.3) |
FC22 + new data + delayed advection |
|
| FC27 |
2.0 |
Ship ADCP B, E, I |
Survey 1 |
12.0/9.2/8.4/8.3 B: 7.2; (1.7, -0.1) E: 7.5; (-4.4, -1.5) I: 10.6; (7.4, 3.1) ADCP: 8.3; (-0.4, 0.1) |
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| FC28 |
3.1 |
Ship ADCP B, E, I |
clim |
Central with new data |
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| FC29 |
3.1 |
Ship ADCP B, E, I |
Survey 1 |
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| FC30 |
2.0 |
Ship ADCP B, E, I |
clim |
|
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| FC31 |
2.0 |
Ship ADCP B, E, I |
Survey 1 |
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| FC32 |
Ship ADCP B, E, I |
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| FC33 |
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| FC34 |