Supplemental materials for research proposal:

Predictive models of the toxic dinoflagellate Alexandrium

fundyense in the Gulf of Maine: quantitative evaluation,

refinement, and transition to operational mode for coastal

management.


Dennis J. McGillicuddy, Jr., Donald M. Anderson, Andrew Solow
(Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution)

Daniel R. Lynch (Dartmouth College)

David Townsend (University of Maine)
 

Contents:

1) Animated model output [Section E.2.2]
2) Autocorrelation plots for Alexandrium cell concentration data [Section E.2.2]
3) Table of proposed workshop participants [Sections E.4.5 and E.5
4) Supporting letters [Section E.8]
 

1) Animated model output [Section E.2.2]
           fli format  (view with aaplay/aawin [Windows], quictime (Mac), or xanim [unix])
           avi format  (view with Windows media player)


 
 

2) Autocorrelation plots for Alexandrium cell concentration data [Section E.2.2]

The observations clearly contain patchiness at small scales that is not resolved
in the model simulations.  This is illustrated in the following two figures, which
show the autocorrelation functions for the simulated and observed cell distributions
in the alongshore and cross-shore directions.  These plots indicate the degree to
which cell concentration at a particular point is correlated with concentrations at
neighboring points as a function of separation distance.

The fact that this correlation falls of more rapidly in the observations than in the
model suggests that the model fields are smoother than the observations, and thus
do not fully resolve the patchiness contained in the observations.

Also note that the average station spacing in the cross shore direction is such that
neighboring observations are fairly well correlated with each other.  This is not true
in the alongshore direction, where adjacent transects are essentially uncorrelated with
each other.


 


3) Table of proposed workshop participants [Sections E.4.5 and E.5] in PDF format.
     Workshop Table

4) Supporting letters [Section E.8] in PDF format.
     Signatures have been removed for security reasons; originals are on file at WHOI.

     Paul Anderson, Maine Sea Grant
     Philip Bogden, GoMOOS
     Michael Hickey, Massachusetts Division of Marine Fisheries
     John Hurst, Maine Department of Marine Resources
     Jennifer Martin, Fisheries and Oceans, Canada
     Linda Mercer, Maine Department of Marine Resources
     Michael Mickelson, Massachusetts Water Resources Authority
     Grayson Wood, NOAA CoastWatch
 
 
  Contact:    dmcgillicuddy@whoi.edu